The COVID-19 pandemic derailed global growth and EMs suffered an unprecedented activity collapse.
Recovery from the crisis continues to be bumpy, but we think that the focus will soon shift back to the medium-term growth outlook in EM.
Several pre-COVID-19 research notes documented a secular decline in EM growth, which can complicate job creation, possibly making it difficult to create enough jobs in the medium term.
In this note, we use an estimation of the long-run relationship between growth and employment to present illustrative scenarios showing that at the growth rates of the last few years, many EMs will struggle to deliver satisfactory labor market outcomes.
Chosen excerpts by Job Market Monitor. Read the whole story @ Economic Views – Can EMs Create Enough Jobs?