This tag is associated with 38 posts

The Great Demographic Reversal – A return of inflation, higher nominal interest rates, lessening inequality and higher productivity, but worsening fiscal problems

The rise of China to the status of economic superpower has been the dominant narrative of the last three decades. China’s rise as the main feature of globalisation, in conjunction with a beneficial sweet spot in demography, drove output up and inflation down in the advanced economies. But these trends are now reversing. China’s economic … Continue reading

World Population – By country, in one chart

Total: 7,515,284,153 Chosen excerpts by Job Market Monitor. Read the whole story at Countries Ordered by Population in 2017

Aging Canada – The gap between the number of children and the number of seniors is growing

The gap between the number of children and the number of seniors is growing The most recent population estimates point to the continued rapid aging of the Canadian population. This trend is especially driven by fertility rates below the replacement level, which has been the situation in recent decades, and an increased life expectancy. The … Continue reading

La Population du Canada, TIII, 2018 – la plus forte croissance en nombre depuis juillet 1971, en grande partie attribuable à la migration internationale

La population du Canada était de 37 242 571 personnes au 1er octobre 2018, en hausse de 183 715 personnes par rapport au 1er juillet 2018, selon les estimations démographiques provisoires. Il s’agit de la plus forte croissance en nombre depuis le début de la période visée par le système actuel de comptabilité démographique, période qui commence en juillet 1971. Le taux d’accroissement démographique du Canada s’est … Continue reading

US – A continuous decline in the overall participation rates until 2060 BLS says

In the Census Bureau’s latest projections, the growth rate (percentage change) of the resident population is projected to decrease in the long term. In 2022, the share of natural increase and immigration in projections of the resident population will be equal and at 50 percent.   The civilian noninstitutional population is projected to grow from … Continue reading

Youth – The world is roughly split into two

The world is roughly split into two – between countries where the population aged 15-19 will increase (almost threefold in the case of Niger) and where it will decrease. Chosen excerpts by Job Market Monitor. Read the whole story at  Japan is not the only country worrying about population decline – get used to a two-speed … Continue reading

Japan – Population shrank by nearly a million in 5 years

Japan’s population shrank by nearly a million during the last half-decade, official census figures confirmed on Friday, an unprecedented drop for a society not ravaged by war or other deadly crisis, and one that helps explain the country’s persistent economic woes. It was the first time since Japan began collecting census data in 1920 that … Continue reading

Italy – The fewest births ever and the population shrank 

Fewer babies were born in Italy in 2015 than in any year since the modern state was founded 154 years ago, and the population shrank for the first time in three decades, data showed on Friday.Adding to the gloomy picture, the number of deaths jumped more than 9 percent over the previous year. That left … Continue reading

EU – Population rose by 1.7 million during 2013 with net migration as the main driver

The current demographic situation in the EU-28 is characterised in general by population growth.3 However, while the population of the EU-28 as a whole increased in 2013, the population in 13 EU-28 Member States declined. The EU-28 population rose by 1.7 million during 2013 On 1 January 2014 the population of the EU-28 was estimated … Continue reading

UK – More than 8.6 million people are now living in London, a record high

The Mayor of London has confirmed that the capital is now home to more people than at any time in its history. More than 8.6 million people are now living in London with the latest projections estimating that the city will be home to 11million people by 2050.  Today’s announcement confirms the capital’s status as … Continue reading

EU – Labor force projections up to 2053 by level of educational attainment

A significant amount of research has been published on the potential economic consequences of population aging in developed economies. One topic that has received repeated attention is the expected shrinkage in absolute and relative terms of the working population between the ages 15 and 65. Concurrently, the share of people above the age of 65 … Continue reading

The long-term employment challenge – The productivity solution

Global employment growth has been slowing for more than two decades. By around 2050, our research finds, the global number of employees is likely to peak. In fact, employee headcounts are already declining in Germany, Italy, Japan, and Russia; in China and South Korea, they are likely to begin falling as early as 2024. While … Continue reading

What About Low Fertility in US ? Six Fertility Lessons

First, a fertility rate of 1.9 is nothing to worry about. It is still high by international standards and likely to tick back up as the economy recovers. Second, young people cannot be “bribed” into having children through lower taxes or large baby bonuses. (Organizing work and school schedules to suit modern family life is … Continue reading

Population aging could have effects that are positive study says

In this paper, we addressed the important question of how selected areas of life will be affected as populations grow older and smaller. We used the case of Germany, a country that is at a relatively advanced stage of the demographic transition, to study the potential long-run implications of population aging. In the decades prior … Continue reading

World Population – Adolescents, youth and the transformation of the future: the Power of 1.8 Billion

Young people matter. They matter because an unprecedented 1.8 billion youth are alive today, and because they are the shapers and leaders of our global future. They matter because they have inherent human rights that must be fulfilled. Yet, in a world of adult concerns, young people are often overlooked. This tendency cries out for … Continue reading

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