Job Market Monitor
Economy
Job Report in US (ADP), March – Lost of 27,000 up to March 12, without full impact of COVID-19
ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Decreased by 27,000 Jobs in March; the March NER Utilizes Data Through March 12 and Does Not Reflect the Full Impact of COVID-19 on the Overall Employment Situation ROSELAND, N.J. – April 1, 2020 – Private sector employment decreased by 27,000 jobs from February to March according to … Continue reading
COVID in US – The St. Louis Fed’s back-of-the-Envelope Estimates : given the assumption of a constant labor force, 32.1%
As state and local governments implement social-distancing measures to suppress and contain the spread of COVID-19, many businesses are faced with a large decrease in sales and revenue. This slowdown of economic activity could inevitably lead to solvency and liquidity problems that result in workers being laid off. This negative shock does not equally affect … Continue reading
COVID in US – One-quarter of the of the country’s largest companies had more cash going out than coming in on the eve of the crisis
“The coronavirus has left businesses from giant corporations to the corner bar struggling for survival. But along with dealing millions of Americans an unexpected blow, the pandemic exposed vulnerabilities that had accumulated during a record-long expansion and years of ultralow interest rates — and which now could make it harder to recover from a recession, … Continue reading
COVID-19 in Canada – The impact on the labour market
The Bottom Line… • Global economy will feel the effects of COVID-19—a recession is likely in many countries • Canada and the United States went into February 2020 on a solid footing but things have deteriorated precipitously • Economic impact will depend entirely on our success (in Canada and the United States) at containing the … Continue reading
COVID-19 in US Viewed from the FED – Unemployment may soar to 30%
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard predicted the U.S. unemployment rate may hit 30% in the second quarter because of shutdowns to combat the coronavirus, with an unprecedented 50% drop in gross domestic product. Bullard called for a powerful fiscal response to replace the $2.5 trillion in lost income that quarter to … Continue reading
COVID-19 in US – Over 37 million U.S. jobs may be vulnerable to potential layoffs in the short term
Almost 56% of US production and non-supervisory jobs (about 59.5 million jobs) offer weekly incomes below the $802 weighted average weekly income for all such jobs. Together, those low-quality jobs offer a weighted average of $539 in weekly income, or just over $28,000 per year. There is a subset of these workers, in jobs often … Continue reading
COVID-19 – Almost 25 million jobs could be lost worldwide as a result of COVID-19, says ILO
The economic and labour crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic could increase global unemployment by almost 25 million, according to a new assessment by the International Labour Organization (ILO). However, if we see an internationally coordinated policy response, as happened in the global financial crisis of 2008/9, then the impact on global unemployment could be … Continue reading
Job Report in US, February 2020 – Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by a 273,000, well above consensus expectations
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 273,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 3.5 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in health care and social assistance, food services and drinking places, government, construction, professional and technical services, and financial activities. Household Survey Data Both … Continue reading
Global Labor Market – Unemployment projected to rise in the next two years says ILO
A lack of decent work combined with rising unemployment and persisting inequality is making it increasingly difficult for people to build better lives through their work, according to the latest edition of the ILO’s global report on employment and social trends. Chosen excerpts by Job Market Monitor. Read the whole story @ Flagship report: World Employment and … Continue reading
Industrial Production in Euro Area, July 2019 – Down by 0.4%
In July 2019 compared with June 2019, seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 0.4% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.1% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In June 2019, industrial production fell by 1.4% in both the euro area and EU28. In July 2019 … Continue reading
Recession in US – Most NABE economists expect it by the end of 2021
“Survey respondents indicate that the expansion will be extended by the shift in monetary policy, and most expect the next economic recession will occur later than anticipated when the February policy survey was conducted,” said NABE President Constance Hunter, CBE, chief economist, KPMG. “Of the 98% of respondents who believe a recession will come after … Continue reading
Job Report in Canada, July 2019 – Employment was little changed for the third consecutive month and unemployment up to 5.7%
Employment was little changed for the third consecutive month in July. The unemployment rate increased by 0.2 percentage points to 5.7% as more people searched for work. Compared with July 2018, employment was up by 353,000 (+1.9%), driven by gains in full-time work (+326,000 or +2.2%). Over the same period, hours worked increased by 0.7%. To explore the most recent results from the … Continue reading
US – Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
Th[is] graph is for private employment only. Mr. Trump is in Orange (30 months). The employment recovery during Mr. G.W. Bush’s (red) first term was sluggish, and private employment was down 821,000 jobs at the end of his first term. At the end of Mr. Bush’s second term, private employment was collapsing, and there were net 382,000 private … Continue reading
Job Report in Canada, April 2019 – Employment rose by 107,000 and unemployment at 5.7%, historically low in Quebec
Employment rose by 107,000 in April, with notable gains in part-time work for youth. The unemployment rate declined by 0.1 percentage points to 5.7% as more people participated in the labour market. On a year-over-year basis, employment grew by 426,000 (+2.3%), with gains in both full-time (+248,000) and part-time (+179,000) work. Over the same period, total hours worked were up 1.3%. Employment up … Continue reading
Job Report in US, April 2019 – Employment rebounds with a 263,000 increase and at 3.6 percent, the lowest rate since December 1969
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 263,000 in April, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, construction, health care, and social assistance. Household Survey Data The unemployment rate declined by 0.2 percentage point to 3.6 percent in … Continue reading
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