Job Market Monitor
Labor force
US – What reasons are given for nonparticipation in the labor force?
While a comprehensive explanation of labor force nonparticipation is outside the scope of this paper, we can gain some insight from self-reported reasons for being out of the labor force.2 In figure 3, we describe the reasons that prime-age men and women give for their nonparticipation. (The percentage in each category is out of the … Continue reading
Women make up at least 40% of the workforce in more than 80 countries
Women make up at least 40% of the workforce in more than 80 countries, according to a Pew Research Center analysis of labor force statistics from 114 nations with data from 2010 to 2016. Across all of these countries, the median female share of the workforce is 45.4%. Chosen excerpts by Job Market Monitor. Read the … Continue reading
Prime-age male labor force participation in US – Half of those not in the labor force take pain medications daily
The share of prime-age men in the labor force has declined from its peak of 98 percent in 1954 to 88 percent today, reports the Council of Economic Advisers. This precipitous decline was largely masked as women entered the workforce in record numbers up until the 1990s, when their participation rate began to stagnate and … Continue reading
Labor Force Participation in US – The CBO’s projections: a drop of 3.7 percentage points over 30 years
What Are CBO’s Current Projections of Labor Force Participation? CBO projects that the rate of labor force participation (that is, the number of people who are either working or seeking work as a share of the civilian noninstitutionalized population age 16 or older) will decline from 62.8 percent in 2017 to 61.0 percent in 2027 and … Continue reading
Aging and Shrinking Labor Forces in Europe – Economic long-term outlooks often too pessimistic
Demographic aging and accompanying shrinking labor forces are common phenomena throughout the developed world. There is a widespread notion that societal aging will put significant pressure on public budgets, a view supported by recent OECD projections. Expenditures for public health are expected to rise, old-age pension systems already are burdened by an imbalance of working … Continue reading
Labor Force Participation in US – A rare country experiencing a recent decline
The U.S. labor market has changed drastically over the past 50 years. As the following figure shows, the U.S. labor force participation rate1 rapidly increased starting in the mid-1960s, peaked around 2000 and fell substantially afterward. This trend is the result of many forces, some of them in opposition to each other. For example, male … Continue reading
Participation in US – Much, but not all, of the decline since 2007 is structural says FED research
Since 2007, the labor force participation rate has fallen from about 66 percent to about 63 percent. The sources of this decline have been widely debated among academics and policymakers, with some arguing that the participation rate is depressed due to weak labor demand while others argue that the decline was inevitable due to structural … Continue reading
Participation in the US – The decline
Ageing and the workforce The largest single factor behind the decline is the ageing of the population. In order to understand how an ageing population affects overall labour force participation, it is helpful to look at the participation rates of different age groups. Figures 2 and 3 show the participation rate profiles for men and … Continue reading
US – Since the final quarter of 2007, the labor force participation rate has fallen from 65.9 percent to 62.8 percent says a White House report
Since the final quarter of 2007, the labor force participation rate has fallen from 65.9 percent to 62.8 percent in the second quarter of 2014, a decline of 3.1 percentage points. In this report, the Council of Economic Advisers estimates that this 3.1 percentage point decline can be attributed to three main sources: About half … Continue reading
Participation in US – About half of the decline is due to the aging of the population says a White House Report
Since the final quarter of 2007, the labor force participation rate has fallen from 65.9 percent to 62.8 percent in the second quarter of 2014, a decline of 3.1 percentage points. In this report, the Council of Economic Advisers estimates that this 3.1 percentage point decline can be attributed to three main sources: About half … Continue reading
Canada – Increase in women participation is over
The long-term economic growth trend in Canada will slow because female participation in the workforce has probably crested, says Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development economist Peter Jarrett. “We have been living off the fact that steadily more young women were entering” the labor force, said Jarrett, who covers Canada for the Paris-based OECD. “That … Continue reading
US – Supply factors are driving down participation rate (demographics and increased incentives to drop out), not weak labor market demand writes BofA
[Bank of America’s analysis] contradicts the notion that a declining labor‐force participation rate reflects a weak economy because of weak labor demand. Labor demand is very strong relative to labor supply. Supply bottlenecks and wage pressures are in the early stage of picking up. That’s why businesses’ main complaint is the difficulty of finding qualified … Continue reading
Unemployed African Americans – Less likely to give up job search
Relative to whites, a higher share of jobless blacks have continued to seek work—which means they have remained in the labor force and therefore been counted as unemployed. This is reflected in the fact that the percentage of blacks in the labor force (employed or actively seeking work) has fallen by less than the comparable … Continue reading
Returning to Full Employment in US – A CRS Report
Until recently, the economy and labor market were experiencing an unusually slow recovery from the longest and deepest recession since the Great Depression compared to other expansions since World War II. The rapid decline in the unemployment rate from 7.9% in January to 6.7% in December 2013 (where it remained in the first quarter of … Continue reading
US Labor Market in Crisis – Two Charts
he enormous number of people who work only part-time for economic reasons is one the tragedies of the unemployment crisis in this country. It didn’t even start with the financial crisis. Before the 2001 recession, there were a little above 3 million of them. By September 2003, as the economy recovered, there were 4.84 million. … Continue reading
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