Job Market Monitor
Canada
AI jobs in Canada – A steady increase from 2018 to 2021, with AI-related job postings reaching their peak in Q4 2021 and a slowdown onwards.
AI labour market demand: steady expansion followed by a slow down The demand for AI professionals in Canada experienced a steady increase from 2018 to 2021, with AI-related job postings reaching their peak in Q4 2021, with a slowdown in the demand of these postings from Q1 2022 onwards. The demand for professionals with these … Continue reading
Temporary Resident and the Labour Force Survey in Canada – The growing underrepresentation of NPRs in the LFS highlights a fundamental limitation of the survey
Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey (LFS) underestimates the rapidly growing non-permanent resident (NPR) population. This undercount potentially distorts important economic indicators, such as nominal wage growth and unemployment rates, because NPRs disproportionately influence these measures as a growing share of new labour market entrants. To address this data gap, this E-Brief recommends revising the LFS … Continue reading
Online Job Postings and Skills in Canada – Understanding the connection(s) between two skills
Understanding the relationships between skills gives us insights into the needs of the labour market and the complexities of understanding skill demands. This report demonstrates how online job postings serve as a valuable source of labour market information that can be used to better understand the relationships between skills and to highlight trends in skill … Continue reading
Nouvelles Cibles d’Immigration au Canada – Une révision à la baisse de 3,2 % des projections démographiques et une hausse du PIB par habitant de 1,4 % en 2027
Dans ce rapport, on estime l’incidence économique qu’auront, en fonction de scénarios démographiques, les nouvelles politiques d’immigration présentées par le gouvernement dans le Plan des niveaux d’immigration 2025-2027. Le 24 octobre dernier, le gouvernement a publié son Plan des niveaux d’immigration (PNI) 2025-20271, lequel énonçait des cibles d’admissions de résidents permanents et, pour la première … Continue reading
Compétences des Canadiens au PEICA 2022 – Supérieures à la moyenne des 27 pays de l’OCDE
Les compétences des Canadiens de 16 à 65 ans en littératie, en numératie et en résolution adaptative de problèmes étaient supérieures à la moyenne des 27 pays de l’Organisation de coopération et de développement économiques (OCDE) participant au Programme pour l’évaluation internationale des compétences des adultes (PEICA) de 2022. Ces trois compétences fondamentales permettent aux … Continue reading
AI and skills in Canada – Most workers exposed will not require specialised AI skills
Most workers who will be exposed to artificial intelligence (AI) will not require specialised AI skills (e.g. machine learning, natural language processing, etc.). Even so, AI will change the tasks these workers do, and the skills they require. This report provides first estimates for Canada on the effect of artificial intelligence on the demand for … Continue reading
Productivity Growth in Canada – Weakening business investment means roughly $130 billion lower GDP
In this research, we explore what’s holding back Canada’s productivity growth—and therefore the country’s prosperity—and suggest ways to give it a boost.How could Canada unlock more private sector investment without costly publicly funded incentives? In which sectors of the economy is weak productivity growth the most concerning? Could taking advantage of technologies such as artificial … Continue reading
Labour Force Survey in Canada – What about non-permanent residents (NPRs) ?
To understand the labour force survey one must begin by appreciating the limitations of its scope. The estimates do not apply to all Canadian residents, but rather are for a more restricted group. That group differs from Canada’s total population of 41,012,563 people as of April 1, 2024 by excluding the following:5 Persons under 15 … Continue reading
Canada-US Labour Productivity Gap – The top 10% of the income distribution accounts for two-thirds
Gross domestic product (GDP) per adult in Canada fluctuated between 70% and 90% of that of the United States between 1960 and 2020. Behind this gap lie large, systematic differences in relative incomes across the Canadian and US income distributions. There are small differences in average incomes among lower percentiles of the income distribution while … Continue reading
Productivité au Canada – Un recul au cours de 12 des 15 trimestres écoulés depuis le début de 2021
La productivité de la main-d’œuvre a enregistré un déclin trimestriel de 0,4 % (non annualisé) au troisième trimestre de 2024, après une baisse de 0,1 % au deuxième trimestre. Il s’agit de la troisième baisse consécutive en 2024, la productivité ayant reculé au cours de 12 des 15 trimestres écoulés depuis le début de 2021. … Continue reading
Lower-wage industries in Canada – Disproportionately impacted by the recent softening in labour demand
Lower-wage industries in Canada with more younger workers have been disproportionately impacted by the recent softening in labour demand, while higher-wage sectors have emerged as clear winners in a jobs market redefined by the pandemic. One silver lining in the Canadian labour market after the pandemic lockdowns was the strong demand for professional, scientific, and … Continue reading
Immigration Targets in Canada – Comparing the new targets to the recent exceptional influx presents a distorted picture
“Immigration targets slashed!” “Drastic reduction in temporary residents.” “Canada to reduce new immigration by 21 percent.” These sorts of headlines dominated the news after the federal government’s announcement to reduce Canada’s intake of permanent residents by 21 percent over the next three years, alongside new measures aimed at bringing the temporary immigrant population in line … Continue reading
New Immigration Targets in Canada – Could subtract nearly 1 percentage point from growth forecast
The Canadian government has been under growing pressure to align the inflow of newcomers to the country with current labour market needs and infrastructure capacity—which prompted a massive reversal of the post-pandemic immigration plan set by the federal government. Ambitious immigration targets were originally put forward to tackle labour market imbalances and financial stress on … Continue reading
Wage Growth in Canada – Composition-adjusted wage growth significantly below the average growth
Wage growth is a key indicator that central banks monitor because labour costs are an important component of production costs and inflation. However, average wage growth can be a misleading measure of inflationary pressures. This is because it is a simple average of the wages earned by millions of people who have different skills, levels … Continue reading
Job Growth in Canada – Governments outpace and the private sectors in 8 provinces
● Several past analyses published by the Fraser Institute have shown that in recent years net job creation in the government sector has dramatically outstripped private-sector job creation. ● This publication updates these data, showing that during the recession brought on by the COVID- 19 pandemic and the following recovery (2019–2023), government employment has increased … Continue reading
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