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Economists may be too optimistic about the recovery path of output following recessions says FRB analysis
The economic collapse in the wake of the global financial crises (GFC) and the weaker-than-expected recovery in many countries have led to questions about the impact of severe downturns on economic potential. Indeed, for several major economies, the level of output is nowhere near returning to pre-crisis trend (figure 1). Such developments have resulted in … Continue reading
US / Okun’s Law says the economy is well below its potential
The basic logic that underlies Okun’s law has proven to be robust over the decades Continue reading
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