Job Market Monitor
Immigration
Immigration Research – Researchers with pro-immigration views reported more positive impacts, largely driven by methodological choices
Why studies based on the same data may reach different conclusions In empirical research, it is common for studies on the same topic to produce vastly different results. Take, for example, the debate on minimum wage policies: while many studies conclude that raising the minimum wage reduces the employment of affected workers, others find no … Continue reading
Nouvelles Cibles d’Immigration au Canada – Une révision à la baisse de 3,2 % des projections démographiques et une hausse du PIB par habitant de 1,4 % en 2027
Dans ce rapport, on estime l’incidence économique qu’auront, en fonction de scénarios démographiques, les nouvelles politiques d’immigration présentées par le gouvernement dans le Plan des niveaux d’immigration 2025-2027. Le 24 octobre dernier, le gouvernement a publié son Plan des niveaux d’immigration (PNI) 2025-20271, lequel énonçait des cibles d’admissions de résidents permanents et, pour la première … Continue reading
Immigration Targets in Canada – Comparing the new targets to the recent exceptional influx presents a distorted picture
“Immigration targets slashed!” “Drastic reduction in temporary residents.” “Canada to reduce new immigration by 21 percent.” These sorts of headlines dominated the news after the federal government’s announcement to reduce Canada’s intake of permanent residents by 21 percent over the next three years, alongside new measures aimed at bringing the temporary immigrant population in line … Continue reading
Immigration in OECD – a new record in 2023, with 6.5 million migrants arriving
Permanent migration to OECD countries hit a new record in 2023, with 6.5 million migrants arriving. The number of temporary migrants and asylum seekers has also risen sharply, according to a new OECD report. International Migration Outlook 2024 says that most of the 2023 increase in permanent-type migration was driven by family migration (+18%). Humanitarian … Continue reading
New Immigration Targets in Canada – Could subtract nearly 1 percentage point from growth forecast
The Canadian government has been under growing pressure to align the inflow of newcomers to the country with current labour market needs and infrastructure capacity—which prompted a massive reversal of the post-pandemic immigration plan set by the federal government. Ambitious immigration targets were originally put forward to tackle labour market imbalances and financial stress on … Continue reading
South American Immigrants in US – A significant increase
Size of Immigrant Population over Time Since 1980, there has been a significant increase in the size of the U.S. South American immigrant population, although the rate of growth had slowed by nearly half as of 2022. The population grew by 85 percent between 1980 and 1990, and 86 percent between 1990 and 2000, but … Continue reading
Immigration in US – Higher pace of employment growth without adding pressure to wages and price inflation
In this analysis, we consider recent immigration flows and their potential macroeconomic implications. Interpreting the current labor market requires understanding recent immigration: how many people arrived and how they engaged in the economy. Recent estimates from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) suggest much higher rates of recent immigration than were previously projected. In 2019, CBO … Continue reading
Immigration and Housing Canada – Stabilizing it will take some steam out of demand, but the sector’s workforce is aging
Stabilizing immigration will take some steam out of demand The federal government is taking steps to reduce immigration, but the measures will not shrink housing demand. In November, it announced keeping the permanent immigration target in 2026 unchanged from 500,000 in 2025. This will still be up from the 2024 target level of 485,000. In … Continue reading
Immigration in US – For a new employment-based visa pathway—the bridge visa—
The Migration Policy Institute (MPI) today proposed the creation of a new employment-based visa pathway—the bridge visa—to enable the United States to better leverage immigration to meet its labor market needs, address rapidly changing economic and demographic realities, and remain competitive at a time when an increasing number of countries are vying for top global … Continue reading
Immigration in Canada – Its system can catch up with its competitors
Parisa Mahboubi is a Senior Policy Analyst and leads the C.D. Howe Institute’s human capital policy program. Her research interest focuses on social policy with a concentration on demographic, skills, education, and labour market concerns. In addition to authoring research studies, she regularly writes a column for the Globe and Mail’s business section. The study in … Continue reading
Le Moniteur de l’emploi dans Le Devoir – Le processus de consultation sur l’immigration doit être bonifié
Le Québec fait face à un défi démographique sans précédent. L’encre du nouveau plan triennal de l’immigration n’est pas encore sèche que celui-ci est déjà largement caduc. Ce que le premier ministre du Québec, François Legault, dénonce dans sa lettre à son homologue fédéral, Justin Trudeau, au sujet des résidents temporaires, était prévisible et prévu … Continue reading
Immigrants in Canada – From 2014 to 2018 their median total income rose from 55 per cent of the median income to 78 per cent
The federal government announced substantial increases in its planned immigration targets: reaching 500 thousand people for the years 2025 and 2026. In this report, we look at some recent evolution of median total incomes of new immigrants so as to inform expectations regarding that policy change. From 2014 to 2018 the median total income of … Continue reading
Immigration dans la Construction au Québec – La faible intégration des immigrants dans le secteur
Faible intégration des immigrants L’un des facteurs qui n’aident pas à atténuer la pénurie de main‐d’œuvre est la faible intégration des immigrants dans le secteur. La construction fait partie des trois secteurs (parmi 20) comportant la plus faible proportion d’immigrants et de résidents non permanents au Québec (9 % parmi la main‐d’œuvre du secteur en … Continue reading
High-Skilled Migrants – The competition is on
Rarely is interest in high-skilled immigration as visible as it was in 2023, when post-pandemic labor market restructuring prompted major destination countries worldwide to adopt policies targeting certain highly educated workers. The year began with the highest ever permanent migration to countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), driven in part by … Continue reading
Immigration and inflation in Canada – Boost potential growth but imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated says Bank of Canada’s report
Canada has seen a significant increase in immigration flows since 2022. While a well-established literature looks at the effects of immigration on specific economic variables or narrowly defined questions, significant gaps remain in our understanding of the broader macroeconomic impacts of a rise in newcomers.1 Moreover, these effects are likely to vary among countries and … Continue reading
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