Low interest rates have left the Fed backed into a corner David Wessel One of the biggest economic stories of the 2010s is interest rates and how low they are. At the beginning of the decade, the Congressional Budget Office forecast that the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds would average around 5% during the 2010s. … Continue reading
A generation ago, the vast majority of economists would have said that a rise in the minimum wage inevitably costs jobs. This has changed, with two strands of research having the biggest impact. In the United States, the work of David Card and Alan Krueger, then both at Princeton University, shattered the cosy consensus and argued that the actual evidence linking the minimum wage … Continue reading
The unemployment rate is the result of millions of individual stories of finding and losing jobs Continue reading
Shiller, an economist famous for having warned about bubbles in technology stocks and housing, said inequality has been worsening for decades Continue reading
Poverty and the all-consuming fretting that comes with it require so much mental energy that the poor have little brain power left to devote to other areas of life, according to the findings of an international study published on Thursday. The mental strain could be costing poor people up to 13 IQ (intelligence quotient) points … Continue reading
“… The long run trend is but a slowly changing component of a chain of short run situations; it has no independent entity …” Kalecki Continue reading
Labor unions representing most workers in Spain’s Iberia airline have called 15 days of strikes to protest the company’s plans to lay off 4,500 workers. The stoppages by Iberia’s ground staff and cabin crews will be held Feb. 18-22, March 4-8 and March 18-22. Raul Melero of the USO union said Wednesday that the strikes … Continue reading
MINIMUM-WAGE laws have a long history and enduring political appeal. New Zealand pioneered the first national pay floor in 1894. America’s federal minimum wage dates from 1938. Most countries now have a statutory pay floor—and the ranks are still swelling. Even Germany, one of the few big countries without, may at last introduce a national … Continue reading
While Keynes rejected the view that over-saving could be a cause of slump, he recognized that it was more difficult to maintain continuous full employment in an economy in which wealth and income are highly unequal…. So what should governments do? Keynes suggested three expedients: they could either increase their own spending out of loans, … Continue reading
Economics has increasingly become an intellectual game played for its own sake and not for its practical consequences for understanding the economic world. Economists have converted the subject into a sort of social mathematics in which analytical rigour is everything and practical relevance is nothing. At least three Nobel laureates have expressed their concerns. At … Continue reading
Back in 2000, just 3% of electricians in the United States were unemployed. By the end of the decade, 19% of electricians were out of work — a huge increase that reflected the lasting turmoil wrought by the recession. Although unemployment among electricians improved to 12.9% in 2011, other occupations haven’t fared so well. The … Continue reading
The Natural Rate Hypothesis has been around us for … since Freidman presidential adress (1968?). Economists know that the definition lies on shaky grounds: the general “equilibrium” referred to in the definition has never existed or proven to exist. But assuming it does exist, we should add a concept acounting for the huge gap between … Continue reading
“There are many reasons for youth unemployment: besides the general situation on the labour market, one might mention education and training systems, labour market and employment policies, but also the stratification and distribution of opportunities in society” write JOERG BERGSTERMANN AND BJOERN HACKER in Youth Unemployment in Europe on social-europe.eu. As things stand at the moment, the … Continue reading
The growing public debt in many nations has brought fiscal rebalancing to the top of policy agendas. This means raising taxes, or cutting expenditure. Recent US experience in the US and other nations suggest the presence of structural factors accounting for resistance to tax reforms.
Even in a time of perilously high unemployment, companies contend that they cannot find the employees they need. Pointing to a skills gap, employers argue applicants are simply not qualified; schools aren’t preparing students for jobs; the government isn’t letting in enough high-skill immigrants; and even when the match is right, prospective employees won’t accept … Continue reading