Aging

This tag is associated with 47 posts

Aging Baby Boomers in Canada – Their participation has surpassed earlier generations in their 60s

The large wave of baby boomers—individuals born between 1946 and 1965—accounted for 31% of the Canadian population in 2000, when they were in their prime ages of 35 to 54, and 24% of the total population in 2020, when they were older adults aged 55 to 74.1 Because of their sheer numbers, baby boomers have … Continue reading

The Great Demographic Reversal – A return of inflation, higher nominal interest rates, lessening inequality and higher productivity, but worsening fiscal problems

The rise of China to the status of economic superpower has been the dominant narrative of the last three decades. China’s rise as the main feature of globalisation, in conjunction with a beneficial sweet spot in demography, drove output up and inflation down in the advanced economies. But these trends are now reversing. China’s economic … Continue reading

Aging and Immigration in Europe – In addition to their integration into the labor force, the human capital of migrants is thus also a major determinant of their economic impact

This paper provides a systematic, multidimensional demographic analysis of the degree to which negative economic consequences of population aging can be mitigated by changes in migration and labor-force participation. Using a microsimulation population projection model accounting for 13 individual characteristics including education and immigration-related variables, we built scenarios of future changes in labor-force participation, migration … Continue reading

Population Aging in Canada – Would need to settle 2.85 million new Canadians immediately

If Canada was to rely solely on immigration to address the impending labour force shortage, it would need to settle 2.85 million new Canadians immediately in order to return to the 2019 OAD ratio. And arrivals would need, on average, to exceed 1.7 million people annually over the next decade to maintain that OAD ratio. … Continue reading

Aging Workforce in Canada – The ratio of younger workers to older workers declined from 2.7 in 1996 to 1.0 in 2018

Over the past two decades, the share of the employed population aged 55 and over increased significantly. This study uses Census of Population and Labour Force Survey data to examine the changing age composition of workers within the most prevalent occupations (with at least 10,000 workers), as well as the occupations that are increasing and … Continue reading

Aging – Likely a transitory phenomenon in high-income countries

Will the population of today’s high-income countries continue to age throughout the remainder of the century? We answer this question by combining two methodologies, Bayesian hierarchical probabilistic population forecasting and the use of prospective ages, which are chronological ages adjusted for changes in life expectancy. We distinguish two variants of measures of aging: those that … Continue reading

Global Aging – The trend towards higher levels of educational attainment may help to reduce economic dependency

When studying the economic consequences of changes in the age structure of the population, looking at economic dependency ratios provides us with some descriptive and intuitive initial insights. In this paper, we present two economic dependency ratios. The first ratio is based on economic activity status, and relates the number of dependent individuals to the … Continue reading

Aging Canada – The gap between the number of children and the number of seniors is growing

The gap between the number of children and the number of seniors is growing The most recent population estimates point to the continued rapid aging of the Canadian population. This trend is especially driven by fertility rates below the replacement level, which has been the situation in recent decades, and an increased life expectancy. The … Continue reading

Aging Workforce – Participation of older workers would have to rise significantly to stem the decline in aggregate participation IMF says

Population growth in advanced economies is slowing, life expectancy is rising, and the number of elderly people is soaring. Because older workers participate less in the labor market, the aging of the population could slow growth and, in many cases, threaten the sustainability of social security systems. But, as our research in Chapter 2 of … Continue reading

Canada – An impending workforce gap

Canada has an impending workforce gap that will be hard to bridge using traditional measures. Workforce expansion has been an especially strong driver of growth in Canada. But with twice as many employees aged 55+ today as in 1997, this will change in coming decades. To grow our workforce at the same rate moving forward, … Continue reading

Aging – Japan’s recent experiences

As the third largest economy in the world and a precursor of global trends in population aging, Japan’s recent experiences provide important lessons regarding how demographic shifts affect the labor market and individuals’ economic well-being. On the whole, the labor market has shown a remarkable stability during the recent financial crisis, despite decades of economic … Continue reading

Participation rate of 55 and over In Canada – Increased from 24% to 38% from 1996 to 2016

Since 2007—prior to the economic downturn of 2008/2009—the overall labour force participation of Canadians declined by about two percentage points. The first part of the study investigates the extent to which aging affected changes in labour market participation rates since 2007, based on data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). In the second part, the … Continue reading

2016 Census in Canada – The largest increase in the proportion of seniors since Confederation

From 2011 to 2016, Canada registered the largest increase in the proportion of seniors since Confederation. This acceleration of population aging is the result of the first baby boomers reaching the age of 65. Today, Statistics Canada is releasing a second series of data from the 2016 Census on age and sex, and type of dwelling. The agency will release all 2016 Census … Continue reading

Aging Workforce in US – A 10% increase in the fraction of the population ages 60+ decreases the growth rate of GDP per capita by 5.5% research finds

Population aging is widely assumed to have detrimental effects on economic growth yet there is little empirical evidence about the magnitude of its effects. This paper starts from the observation that many U.S. states have already experienced substantial growth in the size of their older population and much of this growth was predetermined by historical … Continue reading

US – Is your city’s workforce growing older or younger?

Is your city’s workforce growing older or younger? CareerBuilder is out with a new study that explores employment trends for the 100 most populous U.S. cities, tracking how the shares of workers ages 22 to 34 and ages 55 and older have changed from 2001 to 2016. Topping the list for cities aging the fastest … Continue reading

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